Failed Polls in 2016 Call Into Question a Profession’s Precepts

U.S. survey companies and media organizations that collectively presaged a close Hillary Clinton victory now face an autopsy on how they got it so wrong after a year suffused by polls, aggregates of polls and even real-time projections of the vote on Election Day.

While the predictions gave some observers a soothing sense of certainty, actual voters still possessed the capacity to shock. Donald Trump’s commanding performance defied the final surveys of the American electorate, which broadly predicted a Clinton win of 2 to 4 percentage points. CONT.

Michelle Jamrisko & Terrence Dopp, Bloomberg

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.