Internet polls are regularly underestimating support for Hillary Clinton

In the midst of the post-convention wave of growing support for Hillary Clinton, a few polls have shown a much closer race. For example, on August 7th, 2016 an ABC/Washington Post telephone poll which collected responses with live interviewers showed Clinton defeating Trump in a head to head matchup by 8 percent. On the same day, a USC/LA Times internet poll showed a race which was almost even. While variance in election predictions across polling firms is normal, the better performance of Trump in internet polls appears to be systematic in this election cycle. CONT.

Taylor Howell, Christopher Stout & Reuben Kline, USApp

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.