… Trump is trailing models of where the generic Republican should be at the start of the election. … He is going to start out at about 30% to win the election where the generic Republican versus the generic Democrat should be about 47% (or you could say Clinton is going to start out at about 70% to win the election where the generic Democrat versus the generic Republican should be about 53%). Of course, he is not the generic Republican and Clinton is not the generic Democrat. CONT.
David Rothschild, PredictWise