… Cruz’s base has been concentrated among “very conservative” voters. And those voters are far from a majority within the Republican Party. Even in the Deep South state of Mississippi, “very conservative” voters made up only 47 percent of Republican voters in this year’s primary. Cruz’s average share among “very conservative” voters so far this year — 38 percent — isn’t high enough to make up for his deficit with other parts of the party. CONT.
Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight