Tuesday night went about as well as possible for Donald Trump.
Two weeks ago, after a rough stretch of states for Trump, we issued a series of delegate projections that included something called a “path-to-1,237” projection, a set of targets that would allow Trump to clinch a delegate majority without having to rely on uncommitted delegates. With Trump’s terrific results in New York last week and even better ones in the five states that voted on Tuesday, Trump is actually running a little ahead of the path-to-1,237. …
The question is what’s changed for Trump, whether the change is permanent or temporary, and what implications it has for the next set of states to vote. CONT.
Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight