I’m always looking for new methods for predicting elections.
And in this election cycle, Google might be on to something.
It now releases sufficiently fine-grained data that it is possible to track in real time the number of searches for each candidate, zeroing in only on those searches that come from a primary state while the polls are open.
A simple count of the total number of searches has nailed the early Republican results with uncanny accuracy. CONT.
Justin Wolfers (U. of Michigan), New York Times