Why Nevada Polls Are Bad

… In the lead-up to Iowa and New Hampshire’s contests, scores of polls were conducted. In Nevada, where Democrats will caucus on Saturday and Republicans on Tuesday, only five surveys have been published this year. So why, when American political junkies are used to binging on statistics, are there so few Nevada polls?

For starters, when it comes to surveying public opinion, Nevada is still very much the Wild West, and pollsters may be unwilling to gamble their reputations on the state: Nevada is among the hardest places to poll in the nation, with a spotty track record to prove it. CONT.

Clare Malone, FiveThirtyEight

See also: Mark Mellman & Jim Margolis on polling in Nevada

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