Even after Marco Rubio’s and Ted Cruz’s respective fifth-place and third-place finishes in New Hampshire, the GOP is closer to nominating a Latino candidate for president than either major party has ever been. As of this writing, betting markets give Rubio and Cruz a combined 39 percent chance to be the GOP nominee, and if anything, the markets might understate Cruz’s chances.
That prospect is likely to brighten Republicans’ hopes. CONT.
Dan Hopkins (Penn), FiveThirtyEight