Despite Donald Trump’s victory in New Hampshire, what is the chance that Republicans will nominate Ted Cruz and that he will go on to win the presidency? …
Cruz, more than any of the other Republican presidential candidates, including Trump, is ideally suited to mobilize every Democratic constituency, including single women, minorities, young voters and socially liberal professionals — with the possible exception of some Hispanic voters who would be drawn to a Cuban-American candidate. With Cruz as the nominee, Democrats could make substantial inroads among moderate and centrist Republican voters as well as married women.
Cruz’s appeal is restricted to core Republican constituencies, most of which are in decline as a percentage of the electorate. CONT.
Thomas B. Edsall, New York Times