Republicans and Democrats Brace for a Reality Check

American presidential campaigns have never been so thoroughly examined, probed and measured as in this election cycle. And the pollsters and pundits who cover them are about to get a reality check.

The Iowa caucuses on Monday and the New Hampshire primary eight days later will begin to do what polls and pundits cannot: resolve the extraordinary uncertainty within both parties on basic questions about the contest. CONT.

John Harwood, New York Times

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