To Win In Iowa Or New Hampshire, It May Be Better To Poll Worse Nationally

… Just as during the 2012 general election, state polls and national polls disagree. And our advice this year is the same as it was then: Trust the state polls. In fact, there’s evidence the national polls may be a negative indicator once you control for the state-level survey results. CONT.

Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight

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