In 2007, I woke up every morning — alarm set with a 1980s or ’90s TV show theme song — opened my computer and searched the term “poll” on Google. I did this through the spring, summer, fall and winter. And when I did, I saw the same person leading the Republican presidential contest: Rudy Giuliani. I thought Giuliani had a great chance of winning the nomination. …
Now, we have Donald Trump. He’s led in almost every national poll, with an average of 32 percent over the past month. CONT.
Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight