… In recent days, debate has raged most fiercely around Donald Trump. One group of pundits point to exaggerated polling as the explanation for his temporarily dominant lead in the Republican primary race. Other commentators suggest this ignores genuine momentum behind his campaign that has lasted months longer than anyone predicted.
But an alternative explanation is also emerging. What if both views are right? What if the polling is flawed and Trump still stays ahead, in a self-fulfilling prophecy with profound consequences for the effectiveness of the democratic process? CONT.
Dan Roberts & Mona Chalabi, The Guardian