The First G.O.P. Debate: Who’s In, Who’s Out and the Role of Chance

Only 10 of the 16 Republican presidential candidates will be allowed into the first debate, on Aug. 6. Fox News, which is hosting the debate, will winnow the list using an average of the five most recent major national polls.

The list above represents our estimate of the current ranking, based on the most recent polls and the rules published by the network. CONT.

Kevin Quealy & Amanda Cox, New York Times

Recent polls: Republican presidential preference

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