Only one poll number right now tells us anything meaningful about the 2016 election

Although the 2016 election is nearly 500 days away, the nation — or at least the nation’s political junkies — remain hungry for news about the presidential campaign. …

So what’s a political junkie to do? Watch this number: President Obama’s approval rating. As political scientists Robert Erikson and Christopher Wlezien explain in their masterful volume “The Timeline of Presidential Elections,” presidential approval ratings reflect many of the factors that affect how Americans vote — especially their view of the economy. CONT.

Patrick J. Egan (NYU), Monkey Cage

Recent polls: Presidential approval | Presidential trial heats

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