Clinton’s Real Opponent: Barack Obama

The two factors that might be most vital to Hillary Clinton’s chances—the identity of the eventual Republican nominee and the standing of President Obama—are elements over which she has little influence. It’s the second factor, Obama’s job approval rating, that is especially critical. And the state and national polling numbers present a contradictory story. CONT.

Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik & Geoffrey Skelley (UVA), Politico Magazine

Recent national polls: President Obama

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