It’s 2015, not 2016: The presidential races won’t be decided today

Sometime in the future, people will look back on these early weeks of 2015 and decide what, if anything, was important in the making of the president in 2016. At this point, it’s all normal people can do to keep their bearings. …

People seize on early polls at the same time they offer a caveat that early polls don’t mean much. So now Scott Walker leads in Iowa? He does, but with just 16 percent support — and only one point ahead of Rand Paul and just three points ahead of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. It’s all margin of error. CONT.

Dan Balz, Washington Post

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