Scott Walker looks like a 2016 winner. He’s popular. He’s a governor. He’s won three elections in four years.
And to get a little more technical: Walker’s net favorability rating (favorable rating minus unfavorable rating) compared to his name recognition lines up with past presidential candidates who won their party’s nominations. …
Walker may be the real thing, but it’s too early to know. So, as candidates take their turn in the spotlight over the next year — the Wisconsin governor just had his go-round — keep this in mind: Almost every presidential race features at least one popular top-tier candidate who flamed out in epic fashion. CONT.
Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight