Is it possible that Colorado’s Cory Gardner is shaping up to be this election cycle’s Sharron Angle? You might recall what happened to Angle in the Nevada Senate race in 2010. Almost every pre-election poll had Angle, the tea-party-supported Republican challenger to Senate Democratic majority leader Harry Reid, leading the race handily. On the eve of the election, no less a polling personage than Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight pegged Angle’s chances of winning at 83 percent. But not only did Reid win, he beat Angle by a comfortable 5.7 points .
What went wrong with the polling four years ago should be a cautionary tale for what’s about to take place on Tuesday, with future control of the Senate expected to tilt to the Republicans. CONT.
Matt A. Barreto & Thomas F. Schaller, Latino Decisions