The poll was called “humiliating,” “a whopper for the ages,” a “disgrace” — I said it may have been right, at the time it was done.
Five months ago, everyone was talking about Eric Cantor’s errant poll: the one that showed him 34 points ahead, before he lost by 11. Lots of explanations were tossed around, but most of them amounted to nothing more than data-free speculation.
We now have some data, and while it doesn’t speak directly to my own conjecture, it does rule out some theories propounded by others, while reminding us of the fragility of polling results as we head into Election Day. CONT.
Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill