If the midterm elections were held today, we might all be in for a late night. Republicans remain more likely to control the Senate, but that estimate is underpinned by very tight races throughout.
Many key Senate battleground contests in our latest Battleground Tracker model show just a point or two separating the Democrats and Republicans, and all the leads for either side remain in single digits. Our new simulation keeps the most likely Senate outcome at a 51-49 GOP majority if the election were held today, as Republicans benefit from having many paths to get to that 51 or beyond. CONT.
CBS News