With the campaign season officially begun, Republicans hold a modest but clear advantage in the fight for control of the Senate. …
Whether the Democrats can keep the game close to the end, or whether the Republicans will build an even larger advantage, turns on one big question about the national environment: Is 2014 a fairly neutral year in which Republicans hold an edge because races are mainly being fought in Republican-held states, or is it also a bad year for Democrats, who might face a “wave” election like the ones that brought Democrats to power in 2006 and swept them away in 2010? The answer hinges in part on whether the G.O.P.’s unpopularity is enough to mitigate the expected backlash against President Obama. CONT.
Nate Cohn, New York Times