If you were at a dinner party and the woman seated across from you was a wealthy, white, well-educated, liberal-to-moderate Democrat, it would be fairly safe for you to assume she supported gay marriage.
But if that woman were Hillary Clinton, you’d have been wrong — at least until March 2013, when Clinton publicly announced her support for gay marriage. At least, Clinton would like us to believe she hadn’t supported gay marriage before. …
Rather than trying to read Clinton’s mind, we can look at the views of the Americans who are most like her. CONT.
Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight