State Sen. Chris McDaniel finished over 1,000 votes ahead of U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran in Mississippi’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate. But McDaniel — with 49.5 percent of the vote — is short of a majority, the threshold needed to avoid a runoff. So we’ll have that runoff June 24.
We’ll have to wait for polling to gauge the lay of the land, but what can we glean by looking at past runoffs? One certainty and one possibility. CONT.
Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight