When Polling Is More Like Guessing

Election analysts and forecasters depend on accurate polling. Unfortunately, there’s not much of it so far this cycle. Many of the surveys to date have been conducted by firms that use automated phone surveys and combine deficient sampling with baffling weighting practices.

Nowhere is this more evident than in recent polls in Georgia, a state that should be easy to poll because the secretary of state publishes demographic data on the age and race of registered and actual voters in elections back to 1996. CONT.

Nate Cohn, New York Times

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