Representative Charles Rangel of New York has a nine-point lead over his nearest primary challenger, in a new New York Times/NY1/Siena College poll of likely voters. …
In addition to asking residents of the state’s 13th Congressional District which candidate they planned to vote for, the poll also asked them which candidate they expected to win. … Prediction questions like this one have an impressive record of pointing to the winner in political races. CONT.
David Leonhardt, New York Times