Why two Louisiana Senate polls show wildly differing results

Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) is in the reelection race of her life, but two early polls in the past month disagree sharply on how much danger she’s in. A closer look reveals why.

The latest was a siren: Landrieu’s negative ratings rocketed 30 percentage points since 2012, and her reelection race lead had shrunk to a single percentage point — 36 percent to 35 percent — over top GOP challenger Rep. Bill Cassidy (La.). The poll was conducted by Southern Media and Opinion Research (SMOR), and it depicted a far different race than a New York Times Upshot/Kaiser Family Foundation poll last month. CONT.

Scott Clement, Washington Post

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