… Pollster Neil Newhouse, whose internal polls were premised on an electorate that was D +2 or 3 rather than D +6 (leaving the candidate and the rest of the campaign stunned when Romney-Ryan lost) acknowledged that the Obama team did its job targeting 18- to 29-year-olds, whose percentage of the electorate went up, Hispanics and African Americans. …
Newhouse insisted that the political environment changed dramatically in a year on both right track/wrong track and job approval (45 percent to 54 percent). Left unsaid was why this was not recognized and addressed during the campaign. [cont.]
Jennifer Rubin, Washington Post
Didn’t the initial exit poll show an electorate of only D+3? When I saw that, it made me really freaked out, because it indicated that Romney’s pollster could be right. But it looks like in the final, third wave exit poll party ID was D+6.