The divided nature of the U.S. has been a constant theme in the 2012 presidential campaign with the discussion of gaps, divides and splits in the electorate driving much of the coverage.
By now political watchers can recite the demographic advantages of each candidate by rote. …
But as Tuesday approaches, the bigger issue is who will actually shows up on Election Day. The two campaigns and their surrogates have different beliefs of who that will be, of course, with the Obama team expecting a big diverse electorate and the Romney campaign expecting a smaller, and whiter group.
Who’s right? The recent past may offer some clues. [cont.]
Dante Chinni, Wall Street Journal