Predictions You Can Bank On

… What follows is how I try to forecast the winner when a U.S. president is running for re-election.

First, I want to know as Election Day approaches how voters feel about conditions in the country. My favorite question is, “Do you think things are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track?” [cont.]

Mark Shields

See also:
Direction of the country
President Obama: Job ratings
President Bush: Job ratings
2012 presidential trial heats
2004 presidential trial heats

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