… With the lack of a strong partisan wave favoring one party or the other, it’s unclear how undecided voters will break. This uncertainty is compounded by the fact that too many polls from normally reliable pollsters are contradictory.
Sure, averaging all polls (as some do) is one way to figure out where the voters really are, but I prefer an alternative approach: Look at the best polls and talk with the best pollsters to see what is likely to happen. This year, I have more questions than answers. [cont.]
Stuart Rothenberg, Rothenberg Political Report