… Three demographic groups turbocharged Obama’s 7-percentage-point victory over John McCain in 2008: young voters ages 18-29, Latinos, and African-Americans. Their influx changed the composition of the electorate that year, making it look quite different from the makeup of voters in 2000 and 2004.
Whether the 2012 electorate looks more like 2008—or 2004, or 2000—is a very big deal for both Obama and Romney. [cont.]
Charlie Cook