Young and old are voting very differently in the U.K. and U.S. That’s a big deal.

Last week’s British election illustrated one of the most remarkable developments in recent elections: the propensity of younger generations not only to vote but also to vote overwhelming for older socialist leaders advocating left-wing economic policies last fashionable during the 1970s. This cleavage between younger and older voters seems to […] Read more »

Russian Breach of 39 States Threatens Future U.S. Elections

Russia’s cyberattack on the U.S. electoral system before Donald Trump’s election was far more widespread than has been publicly revealed, including incursions into voter databases and software systems in almost twice as many states as previously reported. … Illinois became Patient Zero in the government’s probe, eventually leading investigators to […] Read more »

Profound partisanship, rather than early voting, may have guaranteed Gianforte’s success amidst assault charges

The May 25th, 2017 special election for Montana’s sole U.S. House of Representatives seat took an unexpected turn on the eve of the election when Republican candidate Greg Gianforte was charged with assault for body slamming a reporter. The race between Gianforte and Democrat Rob Quist had been tightening in […] Read more »

Democrats Are Overperforming In Special Elections Almost Everywhere

Republican Greg Gianforte’s 6 percentage point win in last month’s Montana special election was just ambiguous enough that both sides could find something to like. … Luckily, however, U.S. House elections aren’t the only special elections that have taken place this year. Since Trump took office, voters have gone to […] Read more »

Polarization in state voter confidence

… Lots of people make claims about voter confidence, particularly what causes it to go up or down, oftentimes tying these claims to support for some type of election reform. In fact, the literature on voter confidence suggests that very little in the way of election reform can move voter […] Read more »

It’s time to bust the myth: Most Trump voters were not working class.

Media coverage of the 2016 election often emphasized Donald Trump’s appeal to the working class. The Atlantic said that “the billionaire developer is building a blue-collar foundation.” The Associated Press wondered what “Trump’s success in attracting white, working-class voters” would mean for his general election strategy. On Nov. 9, the […] Read more »

Black Voters Aren’t Turning Out For The Post-Obama Democratic Party

… Lower black turnout in 2016 might be explained as a reversion to the mean after that group’s historic turnout for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. It’s possible that Clinton could never inspire black turnout the way the first African-American president could. But even if this shift is more […] Read more »

Why Montana just elected Greg Gianforte, a man charged with assault, to Congress

Lee Banville, The University of Montana Until just about 24 hours before the polls closed, the race for Montana’s sole congressional seat seemed to be focused on health care, Donald Trump and gun rights. Republican businessman Greg Gianforte appeared to be headed for a likely victory in the race against […] Read more »