The four of us have been around politics a long time. We have been a part of some of the Democratic Party’s biggest victories; we have seen some big losses. In the 2022 election, things are as close as we have ever seen them. But we are right on the […] Read more »
Inflation is a Political Wrecking Ball
… Americans continue to watch their paychecks erode as they confront higher prices in nearly every aspect of life. It will take an act of God or an incredibly inept Republican Party to fail to convert this economic pain among voters into control of one or both legislative chambers in […] Read more »
2022’s Ballot Measures: States are set to vote on a range of measures dealing with abortion, elections, marijuana, and more
As happens every 2 years, voters across the country find a vast array of ballot measures to vote on in 2022. What follows is our rundown of the measures on voters’ ballots this year, based on tracking by Ballotpedia, our own research, and interviews with political experts in many of […] Read more »
California: Both sports wagering initiatives trail, while Newsom maintains a comfortable lead
The latest Berkeley IGS Poll of Californians considered likely to vote in the November general election finds the two sports wagering initiatives, Propositions 26 and 27, trailing by significant margins six weeks before the election. The poll finds Proposition 27, the initiative to allow online sports wagering, trailing two-to-one (53% […] Read more »
Public Opinion and the Election: the Economy
… The economy is the baseline issue in most national elections, midterm or presidential. This year provides no exception. Data from Gallup and other polls show that the economy — and inflation in particular — are Americans’ top concerns leading into the Nov. 8 midterm elections. We see this in […] Read more »
The Politics of the Child Tax Credit
In the American Rescue Plan, passed at the outset of the Biden administration, Congress greatly expanded the Child Tax Credit (CTC) to virtually all families with children, and paid it out monthly for the first time. … The expanded Child Tax Credit is expensive, but it is an investment. Economists […] Read more »