Top Five Takeaways from the 2017 Elections

The 2017 elections were quite a revelation. Pretty much everywhere where the Republicans could have lost, they lost. … One must be cautious in reading too much into any one election, especially a non-federal one where electoral contests were irregularly scattered around the country. But there are some important takeaways […] Read more »

Democrats’ Narrow Path to Winning the House

The Democrats’ “coalition of transformation” flexed its muscles Tuesday to deliver a resounding repudiation of Donald Trump and crystallize the risk the GOP has taken by allowing him to redefine the party in his image. But despite the party’s sweep in Virginia, New Jersey, and scattered other local races, the […] Read more »

The most important things we’ll learn on Election Day 2017

The governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey usually receive heightened attention because they are the first big statewide races (except for special elections) after a new president takes office. But after all the tumult of Donald Trump’s first months as president, this year’s focus is even more intense — […] Read more »

Republicans’ tax overhaul pitch faces skeptical public, Post-ABC poll finds

Republican lawmakers face a skeptical public as they embark on selling a major tax overhaul plan with tepid support before its release and most Americans critical of President Trump’s tax restructuring efforts so far, a Washington Post-ABC News poll finds. A third of Americans support Trump’s tax plan, while 50 […] Read more »

60% of Americans say Trump tax plan will benefit wealthy

Americans oppose Donald Trump’s emerging tax plan by broad a 17-point margin, with 60 percent saying it favors the wealthy -– including six in 10 of the wealthy themselves. … Criticism of the plan goes hand-in-hand with negative views of Trump’s efforts to improve the federal tax system overall: 56 […] Read more »

Was the 2016 election actually a political realignment?

Did 2016 represent a realignment? That’s certainly an overused and somewhat taboo word these days. But to listen to media coverage today, you might get the impression that 2016 was a substantial break from voting patterns of the past. I’d like to explore this question a bit here and bring […] Read more »

This new poll shows that populism doesn’t stem from people’s economic distress

The potency of right-wing populism was visible again last week in the success of right-wing parties in the Austrian election. Conventional wisdom has a ready explanation for populism’s success: the declining economic fortunes of the working class. As the story goes, people who are frustrated with modern economies that require […] Read more »

Democrats Are Playing Checkers While Trump Is Playing Chess

For Democrats, the warning shots are coming thick and fast. “More than half of Americans don’t think Donald Trump is fit to serve as president, yet he has a clear path to winning reelection,” Doug Sosnik, who served as President Bill Clinton’s political director, wrote in the Washington Post last […] Read more »

Nothing Divides Voters Like Owning a Gun

Americans are deeply split along demographic lines, but there aren’t many demographic characteristics that embody America’s cultural divide better than gun ownership. In the wake of the mass shooting in Las Vegas on Sunday, the polling firm SurveyMonkey published a pair of maps from its 2016 presidential election exit polls. […] Read more »