Democrats erase national security trust gap with Trump

A new poll by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner shows a 55- 45% majority of registered voters trust Democrats in Congress more than Donald Trump to handle America’s national security. This represents a huge 18-point swing toward Democrats since March, when a 54-46% majority said they trusted Trump more. CONT. Greenberg Quinlan […] Read more »

Why Republicans Rely More Than Democrats On Ideological Sources of Information

During the 2016 presidential election, supporters of Donald Trump commonly read and shared news stories favorable to their candidate and opposed to Hillary Clinton. In contrast, Clinton supporters relied more on mainstream news sources rather than turning to openly ideological alternatives. Similarly, Trump’s campaign rarely used academic experts to craft […] Read more »

Democrats Are Playing Checkers While Trump Is Playing Chess

For Democrats, the warning shots are coming thick and fast. “More than half of Americans don’t think Donald Trump is fit to serve as president, yet he has a clear path to winning reelection,” Doug Sosnik, who served as President Bill Clinton’s political director, wrote in the Washington Post last […] Read more »

Shifting attitudes among Democrats have big implications for 2020

Partisan divisions are not new news in American politics, nor is the assertion that one cause of the deepening polarization has been a demonstrable rightward shift among Republicans. But a more recent leftward movement in attitudes among Democrats also is notable and has obvious implications as the party looks toward […] Read more »

Democrats Could Use a Few More GOP House Retirements

A little over a year out, Democrats’ prospects of winning back the House look considerably brighter in nationwide polls than they do in a race-by-race analysis. Since June, the FiveThirtyEight average of congressional generic ballot polls has consistently given Democrats roughly an eight point edge — right about where they […] Read more »

Does the Republican Party really have a young person problem?

Before the 2016 presidential election, many people thought Hillary Clinton’s victory was assured, in part because of the Republican Party’s “young person problem.” One reason people say this problem exists is because young adults are more racially and ethnically diverse than older adults. Another is that white young adults were […] Read more »