Trump turmoil is spreading far beyond Washington to state and local races

As a cascade of controversies consumes the White House, anxiety is rising among Republicans well beyond the Beltway that President Trump’s troubles could take a severe toll on the party heading into next year’s midterm elections and beyond. With a near-daily string of new scandals and unfavorable headlines — including […] Read more »

California: Poll details how Orange County GOP House members may be vulnerable

Orange County’s independent voters heavily favor a Democrat Congress member in the county’s four Republican-held congressional districts, underlining the GOP’s vulnerability in these longtime strongholds, according to a poll released Friday. While the survey was done by a Democratic pollster, non-partisan political data expert Paul Mitchell said the methodology, questions […] Read more »

Why Republicans Are Always Looking Over Their Shoulders

The sudden appointment of Robert S. Mueller as a special counsel for the federal investigation into the Trump campaign’s relationship with Russia highlights a key question: Which choice poses the greater risk for Republicans in Congress, to support a potential impeachment or to close ranks behind the president? To defy […] Read more »

A forgotten lesson of Watergate: conservatives may rally around Trump

For Americans worried about the state of our republic, Watergate analogies can be a comforting salve. If FBI Director James Comey’s firing is President Donald Trump’s Saturday Night Massacre, then impeachment hearings should be coming down the road — perhaps soon. But even if Comey’s firing leads to a widening […] Read more »

Partisan Identification Is ‘Sticky,’ but About 10% Switched Parties Over the Past Year

Those who study politics have long known that a person’s party affiliation is a strong predictor of how they will vote and what their opinions will be on most political issues. Some of the power of partisanship comes from its relative immutability: Most people remain loyal to a political party. […] Read more »