As the 2022 election season comes to a head, about half of the public feels our democracy is working poorly and just 1 in 10 think it’s working well. People are slightly more likely to say they have confidence that the votes in the 2022 midterm elections will be counted […] Read more »
Can Democrats break the GOP stranglehold on the states?
Over the past two years, Republicans have used their dominant hold on most state legislatures to advance a polarizing agenda moving social policy sharply to the right on issues from abortion and voting to book bans and classroom teaching of race and gender. Now, a new analysis has found that […] Read more »
All Pain, Whose Gain? The Surprising Implications of a New Legal Theory for Redistricting
Lots of pixels have been spilled on a legal theory once considered fringe, the Independent State Legislature doctrine. This theory threatens to wreak havoc with centuries of election law. Two upcoming Supreme Court redistricting cases cite this doctrine. Both are brought by Republican-controlled legislatures, so you’d think it would be […] Read more »
Secret memo links citizenship question to apportionment
Trump officials tried to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census in a move experts said would benefit Republicans despite initial doubts among some in the administration that it was legal, according to an investigative report released Wednesday by a congressional oversight committee. The report offers a smoking gun […] Read more »
How the House Landscape Changed
Key Points• The new House landscape is fairly similar to the old one.• However, there is a notable increase in the number of super-safe Republican seats — and a modest decline in the overall number of competitive districts.• New Hampshire, the final state to complete redistricting, kept its old map […] Read more »
Redistricting: The Overall Picture, Plus a Look at NY and MO
Key Points• With the national House map nearly complete, it appears that the overall map still leans toward Republicans.• However, this GOP bias is not nearly as strong as it was a decade ago.• We rate and analyze the new Missouri and New York congressional maps. CONTINUED Kyle Kondik & […] Read more »