… Over the last decade, the share of Republicans who are church members fell from 75% to 65%, according to Gallup. That’s a solid majority but also a sizable fall. The key bloc of white evangelicals is also shrinking as a share of the population, while the share of religiously […] Read more »
Joe Biden Is a Transformational President
This has been one of the most quietly consequential weeks in recent American politics. … This moment is like 1981, the dawn of the Reagan Revolution, except in reverse. It’s not just that government is heading in a new direction, it’s that the whole paradigm of the role of government […] Read more »
Americans Expect History to Judge Trump Harshly
Six in 10 Americans believe that history will regard President Donald Trump negatively, including 47% who say he will be remembered for doing a “poor” job. In contrast, fewer than three in 10 think he will be remembered as an “outstanding” (9%) or “above average” (20%) president. Relatively few, 10%, […] Read more »
Why So Many Conservatives Believe the 2020 Election Was Stolen
It was easy to predict before the 2020 election that Donald Trump would never personally acknowledge that he lost fairly, if indeed he were to lose. This expectation was apparent enough from any casual observation of Trump’s behavior over his entire career in public life. Trump had even made accusations […] Read more »
Before I Vote For You, I First Want To Like You
At the difficult art of winning highly competitive elections, former U.S. Sen. William Cohen, R-Maine — who never lost one — was very good indeed. … An engaging man with an earned reputation for working across Washington’s partisan divide, Cohen offered this astute advice for electoral success: “I don’t care […] Read more »
There you go again
Journalists love to identify turning points–the gaffe that sank a campaign, or the snappy comeback that snatched victory from the jaws of defeat. Academic studies regularly find no evidence that individual events make much difference, but the pundits are undeterred. CONT. David Weakliem, U. of Connecticut Read more »