One year out, here’s what we know about how the presidential race will look on Labor Day 2024

Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. But one thing is already clear: the race will almost certainly be decided by a handful of voters in the very few states not entirely secure for […] Read more »

For the GOP, it’s all over but the shouting … and there will be plenty of shouting

Watching this fight for the Republican presidential nomination is like watching a race or a game that feels fixed from the beginning. For all intents and purposes, former President Trump is effectively an incumbent seeking renomination. It is not and has not been an “open” contest with several hopefuls having […] Read more »

Republican voters think Trump is electable. They may be right

… Just seven years ago, both Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton had unfavorable ratings north of 50%. It wasn’t the same majorities that disliked both candidates. Most voters liked at least one of them. But a sizable bloc of the electorate (18%) disliked both candidates, according to the 2016 exit […] Read more »