American Democracy After Trump’s First Year

In January 2018, as Donald Trump completed his first year as president, Bright Line Watch conducted its fourth expert survey on the state of U.S. democracy. At the same time, we conducted an identical public survey – our second – with a nationally representative sample of Americans. This approach allows […] Read more »

As the Super Bowl Approaches, Republicans Are Souring on the N.F.L. Again

If some viewers choose to skip the Super Bowl this year, one man you might blame – or credit – is President Trump. The 2017-18 season was one of division for the N.F.L., as it struggled with protests, lower ratings and declining support among its core fans. But how Republicans […] Read more »

Report from Dial Meter Testing of SOTU 2018: No Sugar High for Trump

President Donald Trump delivered a remarkably unsuccessful, unimpactful State of the Union on Tuesday. This is according to live dial-meter research conducted for Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund by Democracy Corps among 108 Rising American Electorate (RAE) voters – the voters that will decide control of Congress in 2018. […] Read more »

Two-thirds of youth fearful about America’s future, prefer Democratic control of Congress, Harvard youth poll finds

A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29-year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the Kennedy School of Government, finds that two-thirds of young Americans (67%) are more fearful than hopeful about America’s future. Less than one year before the 2018 midterm elections, likely young American voters […] Read more »

Emerging GOP Divisions on President Trump Loom Over 2018 and 2020 Elections

The eighth annual American Values Survey from the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI), released this morning at an event with The Brookings Institution, finds fractures in the Republican Party over the Trump Presidency. Approximately one in three Republicans surveyed (31 percent) say they would prefer the 2020 Republican nominee be […] Read more »

White Male Gun Owners Who Have Felt Economic Stress Are More Likely to Feel Morally and Emotionally Attached to Guns

White male gun owners who have lost, or fear losing, their economic footing tend to feel morally and emotionally attached to their guns, according to a Baylor University study. This segment of the population also is most likely to say that violence against the United States government is sometimes justified, […] Read more »

Does ‘us’ need ‘them’?

Democrats and Republicans dislike each other more than ever before. Donald Trump won the White House, in part, by creating an identity for his followers — distinguishing sharply between an aggrieved “us” and a guilty “them.” Disregarding the definitional problems I’ve treated before, America feels deeply polarized. How did that […] Read more »

To many Americans, being patriotic means being white

… Within the social science literature on intergroup relations, Jim Sidanius and Felicia Pratto’s influential theory of social dominance argues that politically dominant groups — like whites in the United States — effectively claim “ownership of the nation.” According to this theory, “nationality and ethnicity are complementary because their power […] Read more »