You’re Not Going to Change Your Mind

… It recently struck us that confirmation bias is often conflated with “telling people what they want to hear,” which is actually a distinct phenomenon known as desirability bias, or the tendency to credit information you want to believe. … So we decided to conduct an experiment that would isolate […] Read more »

Montana’s familiar story: A wealthy candidate became a warrior against the ‘establishment’

After he declared victory in a hard-fought race for Montana’s sole House seat, Republican Greg Gianforte turned somber. … One day after Gianforte was charged with assaulting Guardian reporter Ben Jacobs — and after his campaign blamed an “aggressive” and “liberal” Jacobs for the incident — Gianforte apologized to him […] Read more »

Survey Suggests American Voters Have More in Common Than You Might Think

Conventional wisdom states that the political landscape has Americans more divided than ever, but new research suggests there is plenty Americans do agree on. Following the contentious 2016 presidential election, Deep Roots Analytics, a firm co-founded by former Mitt Romney campaign director of data science Alex Lundry, conducted a survey […] Read more »

Why Montana just elected Greg Gianforte, a man charged with assault, to Congress

Lee Banville, The University of Montana Until just about 24 hours before the polls closed, the race for Montana’s sole congressional seat seemed to be focused on health care, Donald Trump and gun rights. Republican businessman Greg Gianforte appeared to be headed for a likely victory in the race against […] Read more »

The more a poll mentions Republicans, the less popular the party’s health care bill

It’s clear enough that the American Health Care Act, the Republican bill that would overhaul Obamacare that passed the House earlier this month, isn’t very popular. It’s unpopular enough, for example, that a candidate for the House in Montana would rather face criminal charges than answer a question about it. […] Read more »