Why ‘Middle-class Joe’ Biden may need upscale voters more than ever in 2024

Throughout his political career, President Joe Biden has unfailingly presented himself as a product – and champion – of the middle class. As president, he has relentlessly touted his economic plan as a “blue-collar blueprint” to rebuild America and highlighted the number of new jobs tied to his signature policy […] Read more »

One year out, here’s what we know about how the presidential race will look on Labor Day 2024

Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. But one thing is already clear: the race will almost certainly be decided by a handful of voters in the very few states not entirely secure for […] Read more »

Why Biden Just Can’t Shake Trump in the Polls

Like so many bands of wind and rain, hurricane-strength squalls of bad news have battered former President Donald Trump all year. Since April, he’s been indicted four times, on 91 separate felony charges, compared with zero counts for all of his White House predecessors. … President Joe Biden, by contrast, […] Read more »

Most Iowa GOP caucusgoers are ‘pro-life’ and ‘traditional’ conservatives

Iowa voters who are likely to participate in next year’s GOP presidential caucuses are self-described “traditional” conservatives and stridently opposed to abortion rights, according to new data from the latest NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom statewide poll. A whopping 80% of likely Republican caucusgoers said they would use the phrase “pro-life” […] Read more »

GOP primary voters split on issues based on view of 2020 election result

There are a lot of ways to understand the 2024 GOP primary electorate, but the most crucial split may be the one between Republican voters who believe Donald Trump actually won the 2020 presidential race and Republican voters who, correctly, acknowledge the former president lost his reelection bid. A new […] Read more »