Party Hoppers: Understanding Voters Who Switched Partisan Affiliation

Partisan affiliation is one of the most stable features of the modern American electorate. While individuals’ feelings toward politicians or their attitudes about policy can change quickly, partisanship is a deep-seated identity resistant to change. Within the last five years, however, we have observed a significant amount of partisan switching […] Read more »

Democrats Draw Vivid Lesson From Alabama: Mobilize Black Voters

Amid the Democrats’ celebration over their success in turning out a huge number of black voters in the Senate election in Alabama, party leaders, activists and operatives are seeing a vivid message to increase outreach, mobilization and investment in minority communities. … About 30 percent of the electorate in the […] Read more »

The Politics of #HimToo

The issue of sexual misconduct has emerged as a centerpiece of Democratic strategy for taking on President Trump and the Republican Party. That strategy paid off on Tuesday with the defeat of Roy Moore. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s decision to bring to center stage charges of sexual harassment leveled by more […] Read more »

Partisan Gerrymandering and the Outlook for the 2018 U.S. House Elections

There is a growing sense among political observers that the United States may be heading toward a wave election in 2018. … Despite these signs of an impending Democratic wave, however, many political experts believe that the way House district lines in many key states were drawn by Republicans prior […] Read more »

The Politics of Global Warming Beliefs

Seven in ten registered voters (72%) think global warming is happening. This includes nearly all liberal Democrats (97%; six percentage points higher than in our first survey in 2008), about nine in ten moderate/conservative Democrats (89%; eight points higher than in 2008), and a majority of liberal/moderate Republicans (63%). In […] Read more »

Democrats see road map for 2018 in huge turnout among black voters in Alabama

… The Alabama race, like last month’s elections in Virginia, saw Democrats outperform expectations and polling thanks to a surge of nonwhite voters. A year that began with hand-wringing over President Trump’s victory ended with routs and upsets powered by the party’s most loyal supporters. Democrats in Alabama and elsewhere […] Read more »