What the Georgia Runoff Revealed

Senator Raphael Warnock’s win in yesterday’s Georgia Senate runoff capped a commanding show of strength by Democrats in the states that decided the 2020 race for the White House—and will likely pick the winner again in 2024. With Warnock’s victory over Republican Herschel Walker, Democrats have defeated every GOP Senate […] Read more »

David Shor’s (Premature) Autopsy of the 2022 Midterm Elections

The Democratic Party entered the 2022 midterms saddled with a historically unpopular president and an inflationary economy. And yet the party is exiting them as the election’s clear winner. In fact, Democrats put up one of the best midterm performances for an in-power party ever. David Shor believes that he […] Read more »

Pennsylvania: Fetterman Leads Oz in Senate Race; Shapiro with Double-Digit Lead Over Mastriano in Governor’s Race

In the race for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman leads Republican Mehmet Oz. Fetterman has a 6-point lead over Oz among those who say they definitely plan to vote in this year’s election. Among registered voters statewide, Fetterman also has a 6-point lead. Fetterman was up 7 against […] Read more »

Pennsylvania: Senate Debate Shows Little Impact

John Fetterman’s edge over Mehmet Oz on key issues in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate contest has narrowed, although the Democrat continues to be seen as having a better understanding of voters’ day-to-day concerns. The last Monmouth University Poll of this contest finds that concerns about Fetterman’s health, particularly in light of […] Read more »

Pennsylvania: Rocky debate erodes Fetterman’s lead over Oz in pivotal Senate race

A rocky debate performance has eroded Democrat John Fetterman’s lead over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania’s pivotal Senate race, an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds. The contest is up for grabs, the survey shows, with an unusually high 19% of independents undecided, even as early voting has opened. Fetterman […] Read more »