G.O.P., Once Unified Against Obama, Struggles for Consensus Under Trump

Whenever a major conservative plan in Washington has collapsed, blame has usually been fairly easy to pin on the Republican hard-liners who insist on purity over practicality. But as Republicans sifted through the detritus of their failed effort to replace the Affordable Care Act, they were finding fault almost everywhere […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Voters want congressional investigations into Russia

Majorities of voters think Congress should investigate if Russia interfered with the election and allegations of coordination between the Trump campaign and Russia. That’s according to the latest Fox News Poll, taken amidst a new volley of allegations of ties between Trump and Russia, and wiretapping of Trump Tower. CONT. […] Read more »

American Bridge Polling Of Obama/Trump Voters On The Trump Agenda

American Bridge is today releasing new polling conducted by Anzalone Liszt Grove Research that focuses on voters who approved of President Obama’s record and successes but supported Trump in November’s election (“Obama/Trump” voters). The data shows that Democrats are well positioned to win back those Obama/Trump voters in 2018 and […] Read more »

The Age Gap in the Age of Trump

Ron Brownstein has a new piece in The Atlantic interrogating Donald Trump’s support—or lack thereof—and what it might mean for Democrats. It contains some eye-popping numbers, such as the huge differential swings among white Millennials with and without college degrees. Brownstein also notes Trump’s very low approval ratings among 18 […] Read more »

The net effect of Trump’s speech will probably be a slight, fleeting uptick in his approval

… The question for Trump is less about the effect of one night’s speech and more about whether he can turn around his exceptionally low approval ratings. In Gallup’s most recent weekly average, Trump was at 42 percent — up slightly from recent weeks but still well below other new […] Read more »

Ordering Vindaloo or Hunting for Venison? How You Vote

… As a political scientist, I’ve been asking people about their experiences with people who are different from them. In 2008, I wrote a series of questions to measure cosmopolitanism. I asked seven questions about travel, sports and food to tap into behaviors that expose people to varying levels of […] Read more »

The Democratic Party is facing a demographic crisis

Musa al-Gharbi, Columbia University In 2008, Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama outperformed his predecessors John Kerry and Al Gore with virtually every single demographic group, handily defeating his Republican rival John McCain. This success spread to down-ballot races as well. Democrats expanded control over the House and the Senate, and […] Read more »