Public Opinion Strategies conducted a set of special focus groups among Hispanic voters in Las Vegas, NV. Each group was conducted among 12 respondents for three hours, allowing us to use different projective techniques and a much deeper dive into opinions and beliefs than traditional focus groups. … For many [...] Read more »
A Path Forward for the GOP in Nevada?
In the wake of the 2012 election, there has been a good deal of hand-wringing among Republicans in response to their party’s dismal showing among Latinos. In no state was this more evident than in Nevada. … In this post, I pair analysis of the Election Eve Poll with post-election [...] Read more »
The Hispanic Challenge and Opportunity for Republicans
Resurgent Republic and the Hispanic Leadership Network jointly surveyed Hispanics who voted in the 2012 Presidential election in four critical states: Florida, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico. The results make clear the size of the hole Republicans have dug among Hispanic voters over the past eight years. At a time [...] Read more »
Nate Silver says internal polls often mislead; I say: Depends on the pollster
Far be it from lil ole me to disagree with Nate Silver, the polling guru who has gained even more celebrity this cycle because he correctly foretold President Obama’s victory. But Silver, in his latest post criticizes how internal numbers can often mislead the media — and the candidate. Although [...] Read more »
Nevada’s Odd Numbers: The Complexity of Polling in the Silver State
In the past three electoral cycles Nevada has commanded significant national attention due to the state’s status as both a presidential and congressional battleground state. Yet, despite the Silver State’s increased electoral clout, Nevada remains one of the most difficult states to reliably poll; a consideration that is not without [...] Read more »
Are the Polls Undercounting Latino Obama Backers?
If President Barack Obama loses big Eastern states like Florida and Ohio on November 6, Western swing states like Colorado and Nevada could help him hold on to the White House. Polls in Colorado and Nevada make the states look like anything but sure bets for the president, but there’s [...] Read more »
Obama, Romney tied in Co., incumbent has narrow Nev. edge
The race between President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney is locked in a dead heat in Colorado, while the president maintains a narrow edge in the other Western swing state of Nevada. Obama and Romney are tied at 48 percent among likely voters in Colorado, according to the [...] Read more »
Why most polls done in Nevada are garbage
A few words about all of these polls on the presidential race in Nevada: Don’t believe them. Sound familiar? Yes, I was telling you the same thing two years ago when every poll (almost) showed Sharron Angle would be the next U.S. senator from Nevada. That didn’t happen, and all [...] Read more »
Recapping the polls: North Carolina, Nevada, and New Hampshire
Lee Miringoff talks with Chuck Todd of NBC News about the latest Marist polls in North Carolina, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy Read more »
Obama leads in N.H., tighter in Nev., N.C.
President Barack Obama leads Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, and the two are locked in tight contests in Nevada and North Carolina, according to a new series of NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls released Thursday. Obama’s leads in each of the states are fueled by voters’ improved [...] Read more »