Dueling Realities for Democrats: Big Gains but Large Obstacles in 2018

The Democrats fared far better in this spring’s special congressional elections than even the most optimistic Democrat might have guessed a few months ago. But in the end, they lost all four in Republican-held districts — including the hotly contested election in Georgia’s Sixth Congressional District on Tuesday. This contradiction […] Read more »

Profound partisanship, rather than early voting, may have guaranteed Gianforte’s success amidst assault charges

The May 25th, 2017 special election for Montana’s sole U.S. House of Representatives seat took an unexpected turn on the eve of the election when Republican candidate Greg Gianforte was charged with assault for body slamming a reporter. The race between Gianforte and Democrat Rob Quist had been tightening in […] Read more »

Montana’s familiar story: A wealthy candidate became a warrior against the ‘establishment’

After he declared victory in a hard-fought race for Montana’s sole House seat, Republican Greg Gianforte turned somber. … One day after Gianforte was charged with assaulting Guardian reporter Ben Jacobs — and after his campaign blamed an “aggressive” and “liberal” Jacobs for the incident — Gianforte apologized to him […] Read more »

Why Montana just elected Greg Gianforte, a man charged with assault, to Congress

Lee Banville, The University of Montana Until just about 24 hours before the polls closed, the race for Montana’s sole congressional seat seemed to be focused on health care, Donald Trump and gun rights. Republican businessman Greg Gianforte appeared to be headed for a likely victory in the race against […] Read more »

Montana likely to go Republican

Republican Gianforte leads Democrat Quist: We polled on May 11-12 and May 18-19. We saw a consistent 13 pp lead for Gianforte over Quist. With Libertarian Wicks polling at 9 percent and Unsure voters at just 5 percent, the lead appears significant and stable heading into the last week of […] Read more »