Rural Wisconsin voters swung for Trump and change, but found frustration

It was just over a year ago that this rural battleground region swung hard for Donald Trump in a clamor for political change. But today that frustration with politics appears undiminished by his election and is aimed in all directions — including Trump’s. … What this swingy slice of the […] Read more »

The One County In America That Voted In A Landslide For Both Trump And Obama

In the year since President Trump pulled off his stunning upset of Hillary Clinton, Democrats have blamed the result on all kinds of factors: James Comey’s letter, Russian hackers, voter suppression, Jill Stein’s candidacy and depressed African-American turnout, to name a few. The truth? In an election decided by fractions […] Read more »

Was the 2016 election actually a political realignment?

Did 2016 represent a realignment? That’s certainly an overused and somewhat taboo word these days. But to listen to media coverage today, you might get the impression that 2016 was a substantial break from voting patterns of the past. I’d like to explore this question a bit here and bring […] Read more »

Divided Democratic Party Debates Its Future as 2020 Looms

… On the surface, the Democratic Party has been united and energized by its shared disgust for Trump. But dig an inch deeper and it’s clear that the party is divided, split on issues including free trade, health care, foreign affairs and Wall Street. They even disagree over the political […] Read more »

Trump’s Cuts to SNAP and Social Security Would Hit the Rust Belt Hard

In the key Rustbelt states that tipped the 2016 election to President Trump, blue-collar white voters at the core of his constituency represent a majority of those receiving benefits from the federal income-support programs he has targeted for large cutbacks in his budget, according a new analysis conducted for The […] Read more »

The vast majority of these counties voted for Donald Trump — even if they had backed Democrats for years

A new analysis of labor data offers insight into why Donald Trump delivered surprise wins in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Yes, he swept the Rust Belt. But more specifically, he won over voters in counties that were most dependent on blue-collar work — including hordes of longtime Democratic voters. The […] Read more »

How the Obama Coalition Crumbled, Leaving an Opening for Trump

… It was clear from the start that Mrs. Clinton was struggling to reassemble the Obama coalition. At every point of the race, Mr. Trump was doing better among white voters without a college degree than Mitt Romney did in 2012 — by a wide margin. Mrs. Clinton was also […] Read more »