Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) seemed invincible for the past 2½ decades. … But in 2020, Collins looks deeply vulnerable for reasons that say a great deal about how her party, and American voters as a whole, are changing. … Two trends have damaged Collins. In the short term, the decline […] Read more »
Rating Changes: Maine Senate Moves to Leans Democratic
Key Points• The passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg introduces an explosive new issue into the 2020 contests, although it may not fundamentally alter the race.• Based on trends in public polling, and with a potential assist from Maine’s ranked-choice voting system, we’re moving that state’s critical Senate […] Read more »
Why Biden and Trump are fighting over one electoral vote in Nebraska
Some states, it seems, get all the attention in presidential elections. You probably know most of them by now: Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, etc. But beyond the big prizes lie the smallest prizes in the competitive races: Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (one electoral vote), Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District (one electoral […] Read more »
Virus Pulls Down Trump, Poll Shows, and G.O.P. Senators Suffer With Him
President Trump’s mismanagement of the coronavirus pandemic has imperiled both his own re-election and his party’s majority in the Senate, and Republican lawmakers in crucial states like Arizona, North Carolina and Maine have fallen behind their Democratic challengers amid broad disapproval of the president, according to a poll conducted by […] Read more »
Campaign Experts React to Good and Bad 2020 Ads
Former Barack Obama Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer and pollster Cornell Belcher take a look at 2020 ads. Today’s ads include a positive spot from the Trump campaign, the Lincoln Project’s “Traitor” ad, and an ad from the Senate Majority PAC against Susan Collins. Crooked Media The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a […] Read more »
Nervous Republicans See Trump Sinking, and Taking Senate With Him
President Trump’s erratic handling of the coronavirus outbreak, the worsening economy and a cascade of ominous public and private polling have Republicans increasingly nervous that they are at risk of losing the presidency and the Senate if Mr. Trump does not put the nation on a radically improved course. … […] Read more »