Poll Shows Republicans Less Committed to Trump in Defeat

Republican primary voters strongly backed Donald Trump for the presidential nomination, but the party is far less sure if it wants him to lead the GOP if he loses in November. When asked in the latest Bloomberg Politics poll who should be the face of the party nationally in the […] Read more »

No, disgruntled primary losers won’t vote for the other party in November

… Some scholars say hotly contested primaries encourage voters to support the final candidate in a general election; others say that bitter partisans may support alternative candidates. To explore this question, we looked at vote choice in the 2008 presidential election, which, as is true in 2016, had no incumbent […] Read more »

Warren Is Top V.P. Pick for Clinton Supporters, Gingrich for Trump

More than a third of likely voters backing Democrat Hillary Clinton in the latest Bloomberg Politics national poll say she should pick Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, a darling of the party’s liberal wing, as her running mate. On the Republican side, almost a third of likely voters supporting Donald […] Read more »

Despite Bernie Sanders’ Crowds, Hillary Clinton Ahead In Oregon

A new poll shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump headed toward primary victories next week in Oregon — and suggests Clinton holds a strong lead over Trump as both pivot toward the November general election. DHM Research surveyed 901 likely Oregon voters between May 6 and May 9 for OPB […] Read more »

Global Warming and the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election

… Fewer than half of any candidate’s supporters are aware that virtually all climate scientists have concluded human-caused global warming is happening. However, supporters of the Democratic candidates are the most likely to think at least 90% of climate scientists are convinced (Sanders: 38%, Clinton: 27%). Far fewer supporters of […] Read more »

Exit Poll: Trump Shows Cruz the Door; Sanders Shows Clinton a Fight

Donald Trump relied on the underpinning of his presidential campaign – his strong appeal as a political outsider – to show Ted Cruz the door in their long battle, while Bernie Sanders showed Hillary Clinton that he’s still game for a fight. CONT. Gary Langer & Gregory Holyk, ABC News Read more »

Trump Leads Cruz by 15 Points in Crucial Indiana Race

Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. … In the Hoosier State’s Democratic contest, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by just four points, 50 percent to […] Read more »