Concerns about Biden’s reelection swamped by fear of Trump in swing voter focus groups

Nearly all of the 15 gathered swing state voters described feeling negative emotions when they saw President Biden on a television or computer screens — “confused,” “concern,” “worry,” “sad,” “sorry” and even “panicked.” Every single one said they wished Biden and his old Republican foe Donald Trump were not running […] Read more »

Will 2024 be a personality contest or a policy debate?

Here are a few thoughts this week as we await the outcome of the debt ceiling battle. What will the 2024 election be about? It may seem obvious to ask this most basic of questions about the next election, but the answer will likely decide its outcome. So, perhaps, a […] Read more »

New Hampshire: Trump leads GOP field with a strong plurality; weak support for Biden on Dem primary ballot

A new poll conducted by the Saint Anselm College Survey Center (SACSC) at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIOP) finds President Joe Biden facing weak support for re-election. Although his job approval has improved somewhat since the mid-term elections, he is still underwater at 45%-54%. This translates into a […] Read more »

No Labels is considering a dangerous game

You might have missed it amid all the hubbub about former President Donald Trump’s indictment, but news broke this weekend that the organization No Labels is considering running a third party “moderate” candidate for president in 2024. … What’s stunning to me about the No Labels bid is that they […] Read more »

How the ‘No Labels’ Gambit Could Wreck the 2024 Election

Those politics watchers—including most journalists—who are envisioning the 2024 presidential election as a contest between a Democrat (presumably President Joe Biden) and a Republican (perhaps former President Donald Trump) are missing a big part of the story. Last week brought the warning flash of a significant storm brewing for the […] Read more »

National Swing Women Voters Executive Summary

Funded by Horizon Strategies and directed entirely by the two companies, we took an in-depth look at two small, but consequential groups in the electorate: Republican women who did not vote straight party in 2022 and Independent women who voted for candidates of both parties. CONTINUED Nicole McCleskey (Public Opinion […] Read more »