Iowa voters who are likely to participate in next year’s GOP presidential caucuses are self-described “traditional” conservatives and stridently opposed to abortion rights, according to new data from the latest NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom statewide poll. A whopping 80% of likely Republican caucusgoers said they would use the phrase “pro-life” […] Read more »
GOP primary voters split on issues based on view of 2020 election result
There are a lot of ways to understand the 2024 GOP primary electorate, but the most crucial split may be the one between Republican voters who believe Donald Trump actually won the 2020 presidential race and Republican voters who, correctly, acknowledge the former president lost his reelection bid. A new […] Read more »
Iowa poll: Trump challengers face huge climb to stop him in first GOP contest
Former President Donald Trump starts out with more than a 20-point lead over nearest rival Ron DeSantis among likely Iowa Republican caucusgoers, according to the first 2024 NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll conducted by Iowa pollster J. Ann Selzer. Trump’s early advantage in the first nominating contest — which proved to be […] Read more »
Trump Is Beatable in Iowa
The recent history of the Iowa Republican caucus offers the candidates chasing former President Donald Trump one big reason for optimism. But that history also presents them with an even larger reason for concern. In each of the past three contested GOP nomination fights, Iowa Republicans have rejected the candidate […] Read more »
Trump Leads G.O.P. in Iowa, but His Hold Is Less Dominant
Former President Donald J. Trump’s pull among likely Republican voters is less dominant in Iowa than it is nationwide, though he still leads his nearest rival, Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida, in the key early state by double digits, according to a new New York Times/Siena College poll. The survey […] Read more »
Fox Business Poll: Trump leads in Iowa, as DeSantis and Scott round out the top 3
An early read on the race for the Republican nomination in Iowa shows former President Donald Trump the clear frontrunner — and then there is a sharp drop off to the rest of the field. Trump leads by 30 points in a Fox Business survey of Iowa Republicans, as likely […] Read more »